Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 03:00 • Alfonso Lastras Ramirez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.56) 1.17 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.9% 27.5% 34.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
11.1%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mazatlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico San Luis 0 8.8% 10.4% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.0% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico San LuisMazatlán
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack50%31%
Defense31%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico San Luis Mazatlán
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins17%38%28%23%8%16%
Draws8%8%8%46%25%36%
Loses75%54%64%31%67%48%

Form: Atletico San Luis: WLLLWLLDWLLLWWLLLLWDLLWLL • Mazatlán: DWLDLDLLDDLWLDDLDLLLLLWDW

League goals

Metric Atletico San Luis Mazatlán
HATHAT
GF total15223719928
GF avg1.31.71.51.50.81.1
GA total202343251843
GA avg1.71.81.71.91.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico San LuisMazatlán
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%76%76%92%
1.540%52%36%52%
2.516%32%0%16%
3.54%12%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico San LuisMazatlán
HATHAT
Clean sheets246112
Failed to score303066

Penalties

MetricAtletico San LuisMazatlán
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricAtletico San LuisMazatlán
Wins21
Draws12
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-11-2
Biggest losses1-34-11-53-1
Goals For3422
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricAtletico San LuisMazatlán
Form30%70%
Att62%38%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h71%29%
Goals56%44%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico San Luis or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.73 @ Bet365
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away5.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico San Luis = 1.25 (league 1.56), Mazatlán = 1.17 (league 1.16)

Mazatlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico San Luis 0 8.8% 10.4% 6.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.1% 13.0% 7.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.9% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.9% · Draw 27.5% · Away win 34.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1