Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 17:30 • Loftus Versfeld Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.92 (league 1.10) 0.70 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.6% 6.2% 2.9%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.9%
4 - 0
9.7%
5 - 0
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Golden Arrows
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.7% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
Played55
Form100%33%
Attack100%44%
Defense78%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns Golden Arrows
HATHAT
Played810189918
Wins88%50%67%56%11%33%
Draws13%40%28%11%22%17%
Loses0%10%6%33%67%50%

Form: Mamelodi Sundowns: DWWDWWDWLWDWDWWWWW • Golden Arrows: LWDWLLLWWLWLLLLDWD

League goals

Metric Mamelodi Sundowns Golden Arrows
HATHAT
GF total191130121123
GF avg2.41.11.71.31.21.3
GA total45961622
GA avg0.50.50.50.71.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%50%72%67%
1.550%0%33%33%
2.522%0%17%17%
3.56%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
HATHAT
Clean sheets459516
Failed to score022325

Penalties

MetricMamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
Wins22
Draws11
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses—1-01-33-1
Goals For4243
Goals Against1134

Model comparison

MetricMamelodi SundownsGolden Arrows
Form75%25%
Att71%29%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h62%38%
Goals83%17%
Total73.7%26.3%

Advice: Winner : Mamelodi Sundowns

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ 10Bet
Draw6.94 @ Pinnacle
Away19.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.45 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Mamelodi Sundowns = 3.92 (league 1.10), Golden Arrows = 0.70 (league 0.86)

Golden Arrows
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mamelodi Sundowns 0 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 3.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.9% 6.9% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.7% 6.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.6% 5.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.6% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 2.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1