Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 00:30 •
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.18)
0.75 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.7% | 21.7% | 14.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
2 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Fe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportes Tolima | 0 | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 86% | 14% | 50% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 71% | 36% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
| Loses | 14% | 14% | 14% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Deportes TolimaWWDDLDWLWDWDWW
Santa FeDDDWDLLWLDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 8 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 57% | 86% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.17 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Betfair
Away5.40 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.25 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ BetVictor
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League standings
Loading standings…