Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:00 • The Arden Garages Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.85) 3.07 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.3% 11.8% 71.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
9.4%
0 - 2
9.2%
1 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City U21 0 2.0% 6.0% 9.2% 9.4% 7.2% 4.4%
1 1.7% 5.2% 8.0% 8.2% 6.3% 3.8%
2 0.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.5% 2.7% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester United U21
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack41%65%
Defense18%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Birmingham City U21 Manchester United U21
HATHAT
Played59148715
Wins20%33%29%50%86%67%
Draws60%0%21%25%14%20%
Loses20%67%50%25%0%13%

Form: Birmingham City U21: DWDLLLWWLLDLLW • Manchester United U21: WWWWWWWLWDDWDWL

League goals

Metric Birmingham City U21 Manchester United U21
HATHAT
GF total81422162036
GF avg1.61.61.62.02.92.4
GA total9253413720
GA avg1.82.82.41.61.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBirmingham City U21Manchester United U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%87%93%
1.557%64%67%27%
2.514%50%40%7%
3.57%21%40%7%
4.50%14%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester United U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets022011
Failed to score033202

Penalties

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester United U21
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester United U21
Wins27
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-44-11-5
Biggest losses1-35-00-4—
Goals For2445
Goals Against3642

Model comparison

MetricBirmingham City U21Manchester United U21
Form33%67%
Att39%61%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total31.0%69.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Manchester United U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.90 @ Betano
Draw5.00 @ William Hill
Away1.38 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ William Hill
No2.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Birmingham City U21 = 0.87 (league 1.85), Manchester United U21 = 3.07 (league 1.70)

Manchester United U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Birmingham City U21 0 2.0% 6.0% 9.2% 9.4% 7.2% 4.4%
1 1.7% 5.2% 8.0% 8.2% 6.3% 3.8%
2 0.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.5% 2.7% 1.7%
3 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.3% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 71.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1