Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:45 •
The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium
Expected Goals
4.98 (league 1.77)
1.60 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
best score tips
4 - 1
5.7%
5 - 1
5.7%
3 - 1
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Gresford Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newtown AFC | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 14% | 41% |
| Defense | 77% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
61%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Gresford Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| Wins | 70% | 45% | 57% | 43% | 11% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 22% | 17% |
| Loses | 10% | 45% | 29% | 43% | 67% | 52% |
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Gresford AthleticLWLDLWLLLDLLLDLDWWLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Gresford Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 16 | 38 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 16 | 27 | 34 | 36 | 70 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newtown AFC | Gresford Athletic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 81% | 83% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 38% | 43% | 74% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 10% | 30% | 48% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 13% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 26% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Gresford Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-5 | 3-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-7 | 7-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newtown AFC | Gresford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 58.2% | 41.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.70 @ Pinnacle
Away5.22 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.41 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365
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League standings
Loading standings…