Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 12:30 • Ulinzi Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.01) 2.12 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.4% 17.3% 73.2%
best score tips
0 - 2
16.4%
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 3
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
GOR Mahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ulinzi Stars 0 7.3% 15.5% 16.4% 11.6% 6.1% 2.6%
1 3.6% 7.7% 8.2% 5.8% 3.0% 1.3%
2 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUlinzi StarsGOR Mahia
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack30%100%
Defense40%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ulinzi Stars GOR Mahia
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins9%25%17%67%64%65%
Draws45%17%30%8%36%22%
Loses45%58%52%25%0%13%

Form: Ulinzi Stars: WDDLLLDLWWDLLLWDLLLDLDL • GOR Mahia: LWWWWDWWLLDWDWDWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Ulinzi Stars GOR Mahia
HATHAT
GF total11920211839
GF avg1.00.80.91.81.61.7
GA total13132610616
GA avg1.21.11.10.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUlinzi StarsGOR Mahia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%78%87%52%
1.59%30%52%9%
2.59%4%26%4%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUlinzi StarsGOR Mahia
HATHAT
Clean sheets2356511
Failed to score257213

Penalties

MetricUlinzi StarsGOR Mahia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricUlinzi StarsGOR Mahia
Wins27
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-01-4
Biggest losses1-23-11-4—
Goals For3334
Goals Against2341

Model comparison

MetricUlinzi StarsGOR Mahia
Form13%87%
Att21%79%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution22%78%
H2h15%85%
Goals27%73%
Total21.8%78.2%

Advice: Winner : GOR Mahia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.05 @ 1xBet
Draw3.22 @ Marathonbet
Away1.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Marathonbet
No1.53 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ulinzi Stars = 0.50 (league 1.01), GOR Mahia = 2.12 (league 0.91)

GOR Mahia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ulinzi Stars 0 7.3% 15.5% 16.4% 11.6% 6.1% 2.6%
1 3.6% 7.7% 8.2% 5.8% 3.0% 1.3%
2 0.9% 1.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.4% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 73.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1