Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 14:00 •
Ynys Park
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.77)
0.54 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.8% | 27.0% | 13.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
14.3%
0 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Aberystwyth Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trefelin | 0 | 13.9% | 7.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Trefelin | Aberystwyth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 23% |
| Defense | 95% | 68% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Trefelin | Aberystwyth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 75% | 91% | 83% | 42% | 64% | 52% |
| Draws | 17% | 9% | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 8% | 0% | 4% | 33% | 36% | 35% |
TrefelinWLWWDDWWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWW
Aberystwyth TownWWDLDLWWWLWLWLLWDWWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Trefelin | Aberystwyth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 26 | 53 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Trefelin | Aberystwyth Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 35% | 70% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 83% | 9% | 35% | 35% |
| 2.5 | 39% | 4% | 17% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Trefelin | Aberystwyth Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Trefelin | Aberystwyth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Trefelin | Aberystwyth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | 0-4 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Trefelin | Aberystwyth Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 63% | 38% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 88% | 13% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 73.0% | 27.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.37 @ Betano
Draw4.85 @ Pinnacle
Away7.90 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.93 @ Marathonbet
No1.80 @ William Hill
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League standings
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