Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 • Swansea.com Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.37) 0.87 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.0% 33.0% 31.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
16.7%
1 - 0
15.4%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 16.7% 14.5% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwanseaStoke City
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack43%36%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swansea Stoke City
HATHAT
Played181735171835
Wins50%24%37%41%33%37%
Draws28%12%20%24%22%23%
Loses22%65%43%35%44%40%

Form: Swansea: LWDWDLDWLDLWDLLLLLWWLWLWWLDWLWWLWDL • Stoke City: WWWLWLDDDWLWWWLLWLLLWLDLWWDLDLDLDWL

League goals

Metric Swansea Stoke City
HATHAT
GF total261440231639
GF avg1.40.81.11.40.91.1
GA total192443171734
GA avg1.11.41.21.00.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwanseaStoke City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%71%63%66%
1.529%34%29%26%
2.56%14%14%3%
3.53%3%3%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwanseaStoke City
HATHAT
Clean sheets64105712
Failed to score1785813

Penalties

MetricSwanseaStoke City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSwanseaStoke City
Wins23
Draws13
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-25-10-3
Biggest losses1-43-00-24-0
Goals For4253
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricSwanseaStoke City
Form58%42%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stoke City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swansea = 0.92 (league 1.37), Stoke City = 0.87 (league 1.14)

Stoke City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 16.7% 14.5% 6.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.4% 13.4% 5.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.1% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.0% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 31.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1