Championship
— England
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Pride Park
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.38)
0.79 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.9% | 22.8% | 16.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
2 - 0
12.1%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Sheffield Wednesday | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Derby | 0 | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 0% |
| Attack | 53% | 20% |
| Defense | 40% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 13 | 2.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Wednesday | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 17 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| Wins | 33% | 47% | 40% | 0% | 6% | 3% |
| Draws | 33% | 18% | 26% | 22% | 24% | 23% |
| Loses | 33% | 35% | 34% | 78% | 71% | 74% |
DerbyLLDDWLDDDLWWWWWLWLLDWDDLWLWWDWLWLLW
Sheffield WednesdayLLDLLWDDLLLLDDLLLLDLLDDLLLLLLLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Wednesday | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 28 | 52 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 24 | 22 | 46 | 38 | 33 | 71 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Derby | Sheffield Wednesday | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 77% | 46% | 91% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 31% | 14% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Wednesday | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
Penalties
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-5 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 4-2 | 0-5 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Derby | Sheffield Wednesday |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 59% | 41% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 55.6% | 44.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.30 @ 10Bet
Draw5.94 @ Pinnacle
Away11.50 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.73 @ SBO
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ 10Bet
📊
League standings
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