Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 01:00 •
Estadio Miguel Hidalgo
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.54)
0.62 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.6% | 24.6% | 14.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pachuca | 0 | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pachuca | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 54% | 23% |
| Defense | 77% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pachuca | Puebla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 54% | 29% | 41% | 25% | 15% | 20% |
| Draws | 8% | 36% | 22% | 17% | 23% | 20% |
| Loses | 38% | 36% | 37% | 58% | 62% | 60% |
Form: Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWDLDLLWLLWDDWWWL • Puebla: LLWLLDLLLDLLWLDLWLWLDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Pachuca | Puebla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 17 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 25 | 52 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pachuca | Puebla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 74% | 56% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 37% | 32% | 60% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 0% | 8% | 40% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 16% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pachuca | Puebla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pachuca | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pachuca | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pachuca | Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 70% | 30% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 63% | 37% |
| Total | 70.8% | 29.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Pachuca or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pachuca = 1.61 (league 1.54), Puebla = 0.62 (league 1.15)
| Puebla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pachuca | 0 | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.3% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.4% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 14.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1