J2 League — Japan
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 05:00 • Sagamihara Gion Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.27) 1.70 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 17.4% 21.7%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.5%
3 - 1
6.9%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Tochigi SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.2% 5.5% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.4% 7.5% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.9% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.8% 4.7% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
5 1.5% 2.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSagamiharaTochigi SC
Played43
Form50%33%
Attack44%33%
Defense61%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 26 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.84 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sagamihara Tochigi SC
HATHAT
Played314303
Wins67%0%50%33%—33%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses33%100%50%67%—67%

Form: Sagamihara: LLWW • Tochigi SC: LLW

League goals

Metric Sagamihara Tochigi SC
HATHAT
GF total808606
GF avg2.70.02.02.00.02.0
GA total347404
GA avg1.04.01.81.30.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSagamiharaTochigi SC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%67%
1.550%50%33%67%
2.525%25%33%0%
3.525%25%33%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSagamiharaTochigi SC
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricSagamiharaTochigi SC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSagamiharaTochigi SC
Wins00
Draws00
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0—4-0—
Biggest losses1-24-01-2—
Goals For5040
Goals Against2420

Model comparison

MetricSagamiharaTochigi SC
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total56.4%43.6%

Advice: Double chance : Sagamihara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sagamihara = 2.75 (league 1.27), Tochigi SC = 1.70 (league 1.18)

Tochigi SC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sagamihara 0 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
1 3.2% 5.5% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
2 4.4% 7.5% 6.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 4.1% 6.9% 5.8% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.8% 4.7% 4.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
5 1.5% 2.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 21.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1