Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:15 • Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.73) 1.75 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 21.8% 35.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 1
8.2%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
PEC Zwolle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 2.7% 4.7% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
1 5.0% 8.8% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack64%73%
Defense27%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sparta Rotterdam PEC Zwolle
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%46%44%50%8%28%
Draws25%8%16%17%38%28%
Loses33%46%40%33%54%44%

Form: Sparta Rotterdam: LWWLWLLDWWLLDLWLWWWWWDDLL • PEC Zwolle: WWLLLDLLDDLWDWLWLDWLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Sparta Rotterdam PEC Zwolle
HATHAT
GF total141832151934
GF avg1.21.41.31.31.51.4
GA total192342153550
GA avg1.61.81.71.32.72.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%64%84%80%
1.532%44%40%60%
2.512%36%8%20%
3.54%12%4%16%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
HATHAT
Clean sheets459415
Failed to score325404

Penalties

MetricSparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
Wins52
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-10-2
Biggest losses1-56-10-48-2
Goals For3442
Goals Against5648

Model comparison

MetricSparta RotterdamPEC Zwolle
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or PEC Zwolle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Betano
Draw4.22 @ Pinnacle
Away4.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Bet365
No2.66 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sparta Rotterdam = 1.87 (league 1.73), PEC Zwolle = 1.75 (league 1.37)

PEC Zwolle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sparta Rotterdam 0 2.7% 4.7% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4%
1 5.0% 8.8% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9% 0.7%
2 4.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 35.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1