Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:00 • BG Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.59) 0.80 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.5% 25.2% 18.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chonburi FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
BG Pathum United 0 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack79%50%
Defense57%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BG Pathum United Chonburi FC
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins64%36%50%27%27%27%
Draws18%36%27%36%27%32%
Loses18%27%23%36%45%41%

Form: BG Pathum United: DWLWLWDWLWDDWWWDLWDLWW • Chonburi FC: DLDLLDDDWLWLLWDLWLWDWL

League goals

Metric BG Pathum United Chonburi FC
HATHAT
GF total201333131225
GF avg1.81.21.51.21.11.1
GA total101222131528
GA avg0.91.11.01.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%64%64%91%
1.550%27%27%32%
2.59%9%18%5%
3.55%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets448112
Failed to score123358

Penalties

MetricBG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricBG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
Wins31
Draws23
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-21-3
Biggest losses1-33-11-23-0
Goals For4243
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricBG Pathum UnitedChonburi FC
Form59%41%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : BG Pathum United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ Betano
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away5.23 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BG Pathum United = 1.58 (league 1.59), Chonburi FC = 0.80 (league 1.24)

Chonburi FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
BG Pathum United 0 9.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 18.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1