Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.51) 1.41 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 24.9% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trapani 1905 0 5.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.7% 8.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.5% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTrapani 1905Crotone
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack42%75%
Defense0%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Trapani 1905 Crotone
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins53%27%40%60%33%47%
Draws27%20%23%7%33%20%
Loses20%53%37%33%33%33%

Form: Trapani 1905: DWWWDDLDWLWWWLWDDDLWLWWLLLLWLL • Crotone: LWDDWWLWWLLLDWLWLWDLLWWWWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Trapani 1905 Crotone
HATHAT
GF total261339212344
GF avg1.70.91.31.41.51.5
GA total15264191928
GA avg1.01.71.40.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTrapani 1905Crotone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%73%60%
1.533%33%47%27%
2.510%17%23%7%
3.57%10%3%0%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTrapani 1905Crotone
HATHAT
Clean sheets5388412
Failed to score358448

Penalties

MetricTrapani 1905Crotone
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricTrapani 1905Crotone
Wins34
Draws32
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-23-00-4
Biggest losses0-54-01-23-1
Goals For6234
Goals Against5423

Model comparison

MetricTrapani 1905Crotone
Form27%73%
Att36%64%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h67%33%
Goals44%56%
Total43.2%56.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Crotone

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.00 @ Bet365
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away2.02 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.11 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Trapani 1905 = 1.46 (league 1.51), Crotone = 1.41 (league 1.06)

Crotone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Trapani 1905 0 5.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
1 8.3% 11.7% 8.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 6.0% 8.5% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 36.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1