Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 15:30 • Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.62) 0.73 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.7% 19.3% 12.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.1%
1 - 0
12.6%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Saarbrücken
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 6.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.0% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack56%44%
Defense38%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric MSV Duisburg FC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins69%29%48%46%7%26%
Draws31%36%33%31%50%41%
Loses0%36%19%23%43%33%

Form: MSV Duisburg: WWWWWWDWDDLDDWLWLDDWWLWLWDD • FC Saarbrücken: DWLWWWWDDDLLLDLLLDDDLLDWDDW

League goals

Metric MSV Duisburg FC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
GF total272047231437
GF avg2.11.41.71.81.01.4
GA total132033162238
GA avg1.01.41.21.21.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%74%85%
1.556%26%44%41%
2.530%15%15%11%
3.511%7%4%4%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
HATHAT
Clean sheets279314
Failed to score156257

Penalties

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
Wins64
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-44-11-3
Biggest losses6-12-42-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against2643

Model comparison

MetricMSV DuisburgFC Saarbrücken
Form47%53%
Att56%44%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h75%25%
Goals64%36%
Total56.5%43.5%

Advice: Double chance : MSV Duisburg or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.21 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ SBO
Under 2.51.93 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): MSV Duisburg = 2.07 (league 1.62), FC Saarbrücken = 0.73 (league 1.37)

FC Saarbrücken
0 1 2 3 4 5
MSV Duisburg 0 6.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.6% 9.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.1% 9.5% 3.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.0% 6.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.7% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 12.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1