Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:30 • Loftus Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.37) 2.08 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.7% 21.1% 46.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.3%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
QPR 0 2.5% 5.2% 5.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
1 4.0% 8.3% 8.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.0% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.8% 3.6% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricQPRMiddlesbrough
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack40%70%
Defense0%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric QPR Middlesbrough
HATHAT
Played171835171835
Wins47%28%37%59%50%54%
Draws12%33%23%29%22%26%
Loses41%39%40%12%28%20%

Form: QPR: DLLWWWDDWLWLLLDWWLWWLWDLLWDDLWDLWLL • Middlesbrough: WWWWDWDDLWWDLDWDLWWWWLDLLWWWWWWLDDW

League goals

Metric QPR Middlesbrough
HATHAT
GF total291746262854
GF avg1.70.91.31.51.61.5
GA total262854122335
GA avg1.51.61.50.71.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineQPRMiddlesbrough
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%74%77%71%
1.531%40%49%17%
2.520%20%20%9%
3.53%9%9%3%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricQPRMiddlesbrough
HATHAT
Clean sheets3698210
Failed to score268448

Penalties

MetricQPRMiddlesbrough
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricQPRMiddlesbrough
Wins36
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-34-01-4
Biggest losses1-47-12-43-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against4743

Model comparison

MetricQPRMiddlesbrough
Form33%67%
Att36%64%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals31%69%
Total33.2%66.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Middlesbrough

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.40 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.71 @ Pinnacle
Away1.85 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): QPR = 1.62 (league 1.37), Middlesbrough = 2.08 (league 1.15)

Middlesbrough
0 1 2 3 4 5
QPR 0 2.5% 5.2% 5.4% 3.7% 1.9% 0.8%
1 4.0% 8.3% 8.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.0% 4.9% 2.5% 1.1%
3 1.8% 3.6% 3.8% 2.6% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.7% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 46.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1