Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 16:30 • Stadio Citta dell Aria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.21) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.3% 35.5% 40.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.3%
0 - 1
19.4%
1 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0 21.3% 19.4% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Sambenedettese
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack33%25%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Sambenedettese
HATHAT
Played151429151429
Wins20%36%28%13%21%17%
Draws47%29%38%27%43%34%
Loses33%36%34%60%36%48%

Form: Guidonia Montecelio 1937: DLWLWWLLWWDWWLDWDDDLDLLDDDDLL • Sambenedettese: WDLDLWWWLLLLDDDLDLDDWLDLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Sambenedettese
HATHAT
GF total10152581523
GF avg0.71.10.90.51.10.8
GA total131427161632
GA avg0.91.00.91.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuidonia Montecelio 1937Sambenedettese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%55%52%76%
1.517%34%21%28%
2.53%3%3%3%
3.50%0%3%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Sambenedettese
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613437
Failed to score731010414

Penalties

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Sambenedettese
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Sambenedettese
Wins23
Draws43
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-24-20-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-24-2
Goals For2342
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricGuidonia Montecelio 1937Sambenedettese
Form75%25%
Att57%43%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Guidonia Montecelio 1937 or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.95 @ Unibet
Away3.12 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ 188Bet
No1.67 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Guidonia Montecelio 1937 = 0.64 (league 1.21), Sambenedettese = 0.91 (league 1.09)

Sambenedettese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0 21.3% 19.4% 8.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.6% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.3% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 40.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1