Serie A — Italy
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 17:00 • Luigi Ferraris
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.24) 1.39 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.9% 27.7% 51.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
0 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 11.5% 16.0% 11.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.4% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGenoaAS Roma
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack41%59%
Defense53%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Genoa AS Roma
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins29%15%22%64%54%59%
Draws29%38%33%14%8%11%
Loses43%46%44%21%38%30%

Form: Genoa: DLDLLLDLLWDDWWLLLDDWDWLLDWL • AS Roma: WWLWWWLWWLWWLLWLWLWWWDLWDWD

League goals

Metric Genoa AS Roma
HATHAT
GF total171532221537
GF avg1.21.21.21.61.21.4
GA total18213991019
GA avg1.31.61.40.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGenoaAS Roma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%74%56%
1.537%48%48%11%
2.515%19%15%4%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGenoaAS Roma
HATHAT
Clean sheets4267512
Failed to score639347

Penalties

MetricGenoaAS Roma
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricGenoaAS Roma
Wins23
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-01-3
Biggest losses0-33-10-12-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricGenoaAS Roma
Form33%67%
Att41%59%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total37.7%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AS Roma

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.64 @ 1xBet
Draw3.27 @ 1xBet
Away2.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.59 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.22 @ Pinnacle
No1.71 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Genoa = 0.77 (league 1.24), AS Roma = 1.39 (league 1.13)

AS Roma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Genoa 0 11.5% 16.0% 11.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.4% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.5% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.9% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 51.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1