3. Liga — Germany
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 18:30 • Audi Sportpark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.65) 1.76 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.5% 22.9% 42.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Verl
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Ingolstadt 04 0 3.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.2% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Verl
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack31%44%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Ingolstadt 04 Verl
HATHAT
Played131427131427
Wins38%29%33%54%36%44%
Draws38%36%37%31%36%33%
Loses23%36%30%15%29%22%

Form: FC Ingolstadt 04: DLDDLWDLDWWWLLLWDLDWWWDDWLD • Verl: DDDLWWWLDWWWDDWWDDWWLWLWLDL

League goals

Metric FC Ingolstadt 04 Verl
HATHAT
GF total202545332861
GF avg1.51.81.72.52.02.3
GA total162036162440
GA avg1.21.41.31.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC Ingolstadt 04Verl
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%78%89%81%
1.544%48%70%52%
2.522%7%30%11%
3.57%0%26%4%
4.54%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Verl
HATHAT
Clean sheets336325
Failed to score314123

Penalties

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Verl
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Verl
Wins33
Draws23
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-65-01-5
Biggest losses2-33-12-34-2
Goals For4655
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricFC Ingolstadt 04Verl
Form60%40%
Att42%58%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : FC Ingolstadt 04 or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.45 @ Pinnacle
No2.91 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Ingolstadt 04 = 1.54 (league 1.65), Verl = 1.76 (league 1.36)

Verl
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Ingolstadt 04 0 3.7% 6.5% 5.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
1 5.7% 10.0% 8.8% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.4% 7.7% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6%
3 2.2% 4.0% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 42.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1