First League — Russia
Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 14:00 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.23) 1.22 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 22.1% 23.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Volga Ulyanovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.2% 10.1% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.1% 6.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack71%100%
Defense57%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula Volga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins18%36%27%36%18%27%
Draws64%36%50%18%27%23%
Loses18%27%23%45%55%50%

Form: Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLDDDLWWWDDD • Volga Ulyanovsk: LLDLWLWDLWLDLLWLLWLWDD

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula Volga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
GF total151530141125
GF avg1.41.41.41.31.01.1
GA total141226161935
GA avg1.31.11.21.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%77%82%
1.541%32%27%50%
2.59%0%9%14%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets213404
Failed to score123145

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
Wins31
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-02-3
Biggest losses1-22-11-44-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2244

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
Form53%47%
Att42%58%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total54.7%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal Tula or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ 1xBet
Draw3.27 @ Pinnacle
Away3.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 1.93 (league 1.23), Volga Ulyanovsk = 1.22 (league 1.06)

Volga Ulyanovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 4.2% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.2% 10.1% 6.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.1% 6.3% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 23.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1