Mon, Mar 9 2026 • 19:00 • Bet365 Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.86) 2.32 (league 1.70)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.5% 19.2% 38.5%
best score tips
2 - 2
7.0%
1 - 2
6.2%
2 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City U21 0 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
1 2.3% 5.4% 6.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
2 2.6% 6.1% 7.0% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 2.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
4 1.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
5 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStoke City U21Burnley U21
Played55
Form0%13%
Attack23%23%
Defense23%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)17 | 3.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

90%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stoke City U21 Burnley U21
HATHAT
Played69158816
Wins33%33%33%0%25%13%
Draws17%33%27%25%13%19%
Loses50%33%40%75%63%69%

Form: Stoke City U21: DDLWWWWDDWLLLLL • Burnley U21: LWLLLLWLLLDLLDDL

League goals

Metric Stoke City U21 Burnley U21
HATHAT
GF total9142351419
GF avg1.51.61.50.61.81.2
GA total131730152237
GA avg2.21.92.01.92.82.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStoke City U21Burnley U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%93%75%100%
1.553%60%25%69%
2.57%20%13%31%
3.50%13%6%6%
4.50%7%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStoke City U21Burnley U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score011314

Penalties

MetricStoke City U21Burnley U21
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricStoke City U21Burnley U21
Wins41
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2—1-4
Biggest losses1-63-00-38-1
Goals For3214
Goals Against6438

Model comparison

MetricStoke City U21Burnley U21
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def37%63%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Burnley U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.41 @ 188Bet
No3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stoke City U21 = 2.26 (league 1.86), Burnley U21 = 2.32 (league 1.70)

Burnley U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stoke City U21 0 1.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.6%
1 2.3% 5.4% 6.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
2 2.6% 6.1% 7.0% 5.5% 3.2% 1.5%
3 2.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.1% 2.4% 1.1%
4 1.1% 2.6% 3.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6%
5 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.5% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 38.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1