Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 12:15 • Chang Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.66) 0.93 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.3% 29.3% 28.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buriram United 0 11.8% 11.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBuriram UnitedMelbourne City
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack75%75%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Buriram United Melbourne City
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins75%20%44%40%50%44%
Draws25%40%33%40%25%33%
Loses0%40%22%20%25%22%

Form: Buriram United: WLLWDDWWD • Melbourne City: LLWWWDWDD

League goals

Metric Buriram United Melbourne City
HATHAT
GF total83115510
GF avg2.00.61.21.01.31.1
GA total369448
GA avg0.81.21.00.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBuriram UnitedMelbourne City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%56%67%78%
1.544%33%44%11%
2.50%11%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBuriram UnitedMelbourne City
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score022213

Penalties

MetricBuriram UnitedMelbourne City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBuriram UnitedMelbourne City
Wins23
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-01-2
Biggest losses—3-00-21-0
Goals For2122
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricBuriram UnitedMelbourne City
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h36%64%
Goals38%63%
Total47.7%52.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Melbourne City and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ 10Bet
Away4.61 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Buriram United = 1.21 (league 1.66), Melbourne City = 0.93 (league 1.12)

Melbourne City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Buriram United 0 11.8% 11.0% 5.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.3% 13.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.6% 8.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 3.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.3% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 28.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1