Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • Mill Farm
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.56) 1.71 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.4% 20.2% 28.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.4%
2 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.3% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC FyldeAFC Telford United
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack100%69%
Defense62%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Fylde AFC Telford United
HATHAT
Played171835181836
Wins71%67%69%56%28%42%
Draws12%11%11%22%39%31%
Loses18%22%20%22%33%28%

Form: AFC Fylde: WLWWWWDWWDLWWWWLWLWWWLWDWWLWWWWWWLD • AFC Telford United: DDLLDWWLLLWDWLDLDWDDWWWLWWWWLWDDDWLW

League goals

Metric AFC Fylde AFC Telford United
HATHAT
GF total434184403272
GF avg2.52.32.42.21.82.0
GA total211738232649
GA avg1.20.91.11.31.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC FyldeAFC Telford United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%69%89%78%
1.566%29%58%39%
2.543%9%28%17%
3.520%3%14%3%
4.517%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC FyldeAFC Telford United
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611448
Failed to score022134

Penalties

MetricAFC FyldeAFC Telford United
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricAFC FyldeAFC Telford United
Wins64
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-54-00-8
Biggest losses2-42-12-43-0
Goals For5548
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricAFC FyldeAFC Telford United
Form56%44%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Unibet
Draw4.15 @ Pinnacle
Away4.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.43 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AFC Fylde = 2.24 (league 1.56), AFC Telford United = 1.71 (league 1.26)

AFC Telford United
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Fylde 0 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 4.3% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
2 4.8% 8.3% 7.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4%
4 2.0% 3.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.4% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 28.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1