Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.20 (league 1.50)
4.58 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3% | 1.8% | 66.9% |
best score tips
0 - 4
15.4%
0 - 5
14.1%
0 - 3
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Safa Baku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şimal | 0 | 0.8% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 14.1% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Şimal | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 42% | 68% |
| Defense | 37% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Şimal | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Wins | 13% | 22% | 18% | 44% | 88% | 65% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 12% | 56% | 13% | 35% |
| Loses | 63% | 78% | 71% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Şimal: LDLDLLLLLLLWLLLWW • Safa Baku: WWWWWDWDWDWWDDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Şimal | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 13 | 18 | 18 | 22 | 40 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 16 | 31 | 47 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Şimal | Safa Baku | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 53% | 94% | 94% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 76% | 71% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 59% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 29% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Şimal | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Şimal | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Şimal | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 7 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 3-4 | 4-1 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 7-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Şimal | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 5% | 95% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 28.0% | 72.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Safa Baku and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Şimal = 0.20 (league 1.50), Safa Baku = 4.58 (league 1.22)
| Safa Baku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Şimal | 0 | 0.8% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 14.1% |
| 1 | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.3% · Draw 1.8% · Away win 66.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1