Wed, Mar 11 2026 • 17:00 • MTN Omondi Stadium
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.36) 0.19 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.8% 26.1% 4.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
28.7%
0 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
20.1%
Score & goals probability table
Express
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 20.5% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.7% 5.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.1% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKCCAExpress
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack100%17%
Defense0%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric KCCA Express
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins80%44%63%44%0%21%
Draws10%22%16%22%60%42%
Loses10%33%21%33%40%37%

Form: KCCA: DWDWWLWWWWWLDWLLWWW • Express: WLDLDWDLWLLLWLDDDDD

League goals

Metric KCCA Express
HATHAT
GF total1992813215
GF avg1.91.01.51.40.20.8
GA total891781018
GA avg0.81.00.90.91.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKCCAExpress
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%68%37%58%
1.553%16%16%21%
2.511%5%16%11%
3.511%0%11%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKCCAExpress
HATHAT
Clean sheets336358
Failed to score2354812

Penalties

MetricKCCAExpress
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricKCCAExpress
Wins51
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-0—
Biggest losses0-13-10-34-0
Goals For4241
Goals Against2334

Model comparison

MetricKCCAExpress
Form64%36%
Att88%13%
Def14%86%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h60%40%
Goals60%40%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : KCCA or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.37 @ Unibet
Draw4.65 @ Superbet
Away12.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): KCCA = 1.40 (league 1.36), Express = 0.19 (league 0.86)

Express
0 1 2 3 4 5
KCCA 0 20.5% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.7% 5.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.1% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.8% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 4.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1