Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 20:00 • Stadio Artemio Franchi
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.62) 2.05 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.9% 18.6% 70.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
15.5%
0 - 1
15.2%
0 - 3
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 7.4% 15.2% 15.5% 10.6% 5.4% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.4% 8.6% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.1% 2.3% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentinaRaków Częstochowa
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack47%47%
Defense53%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Played55106612
Wins60%60%60%83%67%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%33%17%
Loses40%40%40%17%0%8%

Form: Fiorentina: WWWWLLWLWL • Raków Częstochowa: WWLWWWWDDWWW

League goals

Metric Fiorentina Raków Częstochowa
HATHAT
GF total9101911920
GF avg1.82.01.91.81.51.7
GA total8311235
GA avg1.60.61.10.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentinaRaków Częstochowa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%83%42%
1.570%30%50%0%
2.540%10%25%0%
3.50%10%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentinaRaków Częstochowa
HATHAT
Clean sheets134437
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricFiorentinaRaków Częstochowa
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFiorentinaRaków Częstochowa
Wins44
Draws02
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-34-11-3
Biggest losses2-42-10-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against4211

Model comparison

MetricFiorentinaRaków Częstochowa
Form35%65%
Att50%50%
Def22%78%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Raków Częstochowa

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away4.35 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.86 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.08 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina = 0.55 (league 1.62), Raków Częstochowa = 2.05 (league 1.17)

Raków Częstochowa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina 0 7.4% 15.2% 15.5% 10.6% 5.4% 2.2%
1 4.1% 8.4% 8.6% 5.9% 3.0% 1.2%
2 1.1% 2.3% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.9% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 70.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1