Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 22:30 •
Estádio São Januário
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.36)
2.90 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5% | 10.7% | 77.4% |
best score tips
0 - 2
13.3%
0 - 3
12.9%
0 - 4
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Palmeiras | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vasco DA Gama | 0 | 3.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 8% | 83% |
| Attack | 27% | 100% |
| Defense | 45% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Vasco DA GamaLDLL
PalmeirasDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 100% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vasco DA Gama | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 9% | 91% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 18% | 82% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 23.0% | 77.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.55 @ 188Bet
Away2.50 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ SBO
Under 2.51.94 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ 188Bet
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League standings
Loading standings…