Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 00:30 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.32) 2.63 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.2% 17.8% 56.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Juventud
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 1.6% 4.2% 5.5% 4.8% 3.2% 1.7%
1 2.4% 6.3% 8.3% 7.3% 4.8% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.8% 6.3% 5.5% 3.6% 1.9%
3 0.9% 2.4% 3.2% 2.8% 1.8% 1.0%
4 0.3% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente MedellinJuventud
Played35
Form56%53%
Attack30%80%
Defense80%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.76 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2-4
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Medellin Juventud
HATHAT
Played123325
Wins0%50%33%0%100%40%
Draws100%50%67%67%0%40%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%
Independiente MedellinWDD
JuventudLWDWD

League goals

Metric Independiente Medellin Juventud
HATHAT
GF total033178
GF avg0.01.51.00.33.51.6
GA total022246
GA avg0.01.00.70.72.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente MedellinJuventud
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%60%80%
1.533%0%40%20%
2.50%0%20%20%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente MedellinJuventud
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score101202

Penalties

MetricIndependiente MedellinJuventud
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricIndependiente MedellinJuventud
Wins11
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-2—3-5
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For0215
Goals Against0113

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente MedellinJuventud
Form38%62%
Att27%73%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.0%52.0%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ 1xBet
Draw4.33 @ 10Bet
Away10.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.82 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ Pinnacle
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League standings

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