Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 13:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.55 (league 1.27) 0.98 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.2% 35.1% 44.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
21.7%
0 - 1
21.2%
1 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Valletta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsaxlokk 0 21.7% 21.2% 10.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 11.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarsaxlokkValletta FC
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack28%33%
Defense72%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marsaxlokk Valletta FC
HATHAT
Played111526141226
Wins55%40%46%50%42%46%
Draws27%27%27%29%42%35%
Loses18%33%27%21%17%19%

Form: Marsaxlokk: WWLWLLDWDWDLWLDWLWWDWWDLWD • Valletta FC: DDWWDWWWWDLLLWWDWDWDLWDLDW

League goals

Metric Marsaxlokk Valletta FC
HATHAT
GF total151631201535
GF avg1.41.11.21.41.31.3
GA total10172711617
GA avg0.91.11.00.80.50.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarsaxlokkValletta FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%69%65%54%
1.538%27%35%12%
2.58%8%19%0%
3.50%0%12%0%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarsaxlokkValletta FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets3586612
Failed to score257549

Penalties

MetricMarsaxlokkValletta FC
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricMarsaxlokkValletta FC
Wins24
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-34-10-5
Biggest losses0-23-00-21-0
Goals For3345
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricMarsaxlokkValletta FC
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals30%70%
Total35.8%64.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Valletta FC and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.15 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Marathonbet
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marsaxlokk = 0.55 (league 1.27), Valletta FC = 0.98 (league 1.20)

Valletta FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marsaxlokk 0 21.7% 21.2% 10.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.0% 11.7% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.2% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 44.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1