Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 17:30 • Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.56) 3.03 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.1% 13.3% 67.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.2%
1 - 2
8.1%
0 - 3
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
SV Elversberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 1.6% 5.0% 7.6% 7.6% 5.8% 3.5%
1 1.8% 5.4% 8.1% 8.2% 6.2% 3.8%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 3.3% 2.0%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthSV Elversberg
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack47%37%
Defense53%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth SV Elversberg
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins25%31%28%58%54%56%
Draws33%8%20%33%15%24%
Loses42%62%52%8%31%20%

Form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth: WLLWLWLDLLLWLLDDLLDWLLWDW • SV Elversberg: WLWWDWWWWLDLWDWWDLDWLWWDW

League goals

Metric SpVgg Greuther Fürth SV Elversberg
HATHAT
GF total172037202444
GF avg1.41.51.51.71.81.8
GA total263056101626
GA avg2.22.32.20.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpVgg Greuther FürthSV Elversberg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%92%80%68%
1.548%64%52%28%
2.520%36%24%8%
3.58%20%12%0%
4.54%8%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthSV Elversberg
HATHAT
Clean sheets202628
Failed to score448235

Penalties

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthSV Elversberg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthSV Elversberg
Wins14
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-21-36-00-4
Biggest losses1-46-00-32-0
Goals For4564
Goals Against5633

Model comparison

MetricSpVgg Greuther FürthSV Elversberg
Form41%59%
Att56%44%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution28%72%
H2h15%85%
Goals13%87%
Total32.2%67.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or SV Elversberg

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.58 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away1.74 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): SpVgg Greuther Fürth = 1.08 (league 1.56), SV Elversberg = 3.03 (league 1.31)

SV Elversberg
0 1 2 3 4 5
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0 1.6% 5.0% 7.6% 7.6% 5.8% 3.5%
1 1.8% 5.4% 8.1% 8.2% 6.2% 3.8%
2 1.0% 2.9% 4.4% 4.4% 3.3% 2.0%
3 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.1% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 67.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1