Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Romano Jose Fouto
Expected Goals
2.12 (league 1.36)
0.52 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6% | 17.5% | 7.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.0%
1 - 0
15.1%
3 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mérida AD | 0 | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mérida AD | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mérida AD | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 13 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 64% | 15% | 41% | 36% | 15% | 26% |
| Draws | 21% | 31% | 26% | 21% | 31% | 26% |
| Loses | 14% | 54% | 33% | 43% | 54% | 48% |
Form: Mérida AD: WLLLLWLWDWWDWDWLLLWDDWWLWDD • Guadalajara: LWWWDLDDLLDLLDWLLLDLLLWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Mérida AD | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 12 | 36 | 18 | 8 | 26 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 18 | 22 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mérida AD | Guadalajara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 63% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 37% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 19% | 11% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mérida AD | Guadalajara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mérida AD | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mérida AD | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mérida AD | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Mérida AD or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mérida AD = 2.12 (league 1.36), Guadalajara = 0.52 (league 1.04)
| Guadalajara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mérida AD | 0 | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.0% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.3% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 7.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1