Ligue 2 — France
Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 • Stade Armand Cesari
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.37) 0.98 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.1% 35.7% 48.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.2%
0 - 1
23.8%
0 - 2
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Boulogne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 24.2% 23.8% 11.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBastiaBoulogne
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack21%50%
Defense64%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bastia Boulogne
HATHAT
Played121325131326
Wins17%8%12%31%31%31%
Draws33%46%40%8%38%23%
Loses50%46%48%62%31%46%

Form: Bastia: DLLDLLLDDLLWLLLDWWLDDDDLD • Boulogne: LLLLWLWLWDLLDDWDLLWDWLWLDW

League goals

Metric Bastia Boulogne
HATHAT
GF total7714171229
GF avg0.60.50.61.30.91.1
GA total161329251338
GA avg1.31.01.21.91.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBastiaBoulogne
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%64%69%81%
1.516%40%27%42%
2.50%12%12%12%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBastiaBoulogne
HATHAT
Clean sheets549235
Failed to score6915358

Penalties

MetricBastiaBoulogne
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBastiaBoulogne
Wins21
Draws42
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-24-21-3
Biggest losses1-32-02-63-0
Goals For2243
Goals Against3263

Model comparison

MetricBastiaBoulogne
Form36%64%
Att30%70%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Boulogne and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.23 @ Pinnacle
Away4.38 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ 188Bet
No1.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bastia = 0.44 (league 1.37), Boulogne = 0.98 (league 1.19)

Boulogne
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bastia 0 24.2% 23.8% 11.7% 3.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.6% 10.4% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 2.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.1% · Draw 35.7% · Away win 48.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1