Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 •
Stadion Respect Energy
Expected Goals
3.31 (league 1.51)
0.52 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.1%
2 - 0
11.8%
4 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Jastrzębie | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Warta Poznań | 0 | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.8% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Warta Poznań | Jastrzębie |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 13% |
| Attack | 46% | 23% |
| Defense | 62% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Warta Poznań | Jastrzębie | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 73% | 27% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 18% | 55% | 36% | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Loses | 9% | 18% | 14% | 60% | 73% | 67% |
Warta PoznańLLDDDDDWWWWWWWDWWWLWDD
JastrzębieLDLLLDDLLLLLLDDLDLDLL
League goals
| Metric | Warta Poznań | Jastrzębie | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 20 | 27 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Warta Poznań | Jastrzębie | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 73% | 57% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 45% | 19% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 0% | 0% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Warta Poznań | Jastrzębie | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Warta Poznań | Jastrzębie |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Warta Poznań | Jastrzębie |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 7 | 0 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-5 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Warta Poznań | Jastrzębie |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 80% | 20% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 74.3% | 25.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.18 @ William Hill
Draw6.17 @ Pinnacle
Away14.00 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.47 @ Pinnacle
No1.55 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
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League standings
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