Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 12:00 • SchücoArena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.58) 1.30 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.1% 28.3% 45.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 1
13.0%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
SC Paderborn 07
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arminia Bielefeld 0 10.9% 14.2% 9.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.0% 13.0% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.6% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArminia BielefeldSC Paderborn 07
Played55
Form40%73%
Attack38%63%
Defense63%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arminia Bielefeld SC Paderborn 07
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins42%15%28%62%50%56%
Draws17%31%24%15%25%20%
Loses42%54%48%23%25%24%

Form: Arminia Bielefeld: WWLDWLLLLWDWLLLDDLDDWWLLL • SC Paderborn 07: WDLDWWWWWWWWLLLWDLWLWDWWD

League goals

Metric Arminia Bielefeld SC Paderborn 07
HATHAT
GF total221436251641
GF avg1.81.11.41.91.31.6
GA total151934181028
GA avg1.31.51.41.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArminia BielefeldSC Paderborn 07
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%84%72%
1.540%44%52%36%
2.516%12%12%4%
3.58%4%12%0%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArminia BielefeldSC Paderborn 07
HATHAT
Clean sheets426257
Failed to score246134

Penalties

MetricArminia BielefeldSC Paderborn 07
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total77

Streaks

MetricArminia BielefeldSC Paderborn 07
Wins28
Draws21
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-25-20-4
Biggest losses1-33-10-22-0
Goals For5354
Goals Against3432

Model comparison

MetricArminia BielefeldSC Paderborn 07
Form35%65%
Att38%63%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h62%38%
Goals59%41%
Total47.2%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : Arminia Bielefeld or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.53 @ Pinnacle
Away2.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arminia Bielefeld = 0.91 (league 1.58), SC Paderborn 07 = 1.30 (league 1.30)

SC Paderborn 07
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arminia Bielefeld 0 10.9% 14.2% 9.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.0% 13.0% 8.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.6% 5.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.1% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 45.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1