Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.62 (league 1.42) 1.01 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 24.8% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Mozambique
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uganda 0 7.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.7% 11.8% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUgandaMozambique
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack33%47%
Defense67%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Uganda Mozambique
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins67%33%50%67%67%67%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%67%50%33%33%33%

Form: Uganda: LWWLLW • Mozambique: WLWWWL

League goals

Metric Uganda Mozambique
HATHAT
GF total3365510
GF avg1.01.01.01.71.71.7
GA total2574711
GA avg0.71.71.21.32.31.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUgandaMozambique
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%83%83%
1.50%50%50%50%
2.50%17%33%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUgandaMozambique
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricUgandaMozambique
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUgandaMozambique
Wins23
Draws00
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-12-3
Biggest losses1-23-10-25-1
Goals For1133
Goals Against2325

Model comparison

MetricUgandaMozambique
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Uganda or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betway
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away5.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.48 @ Fonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.57 @ 188Bet
No1.57 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Uganda = 1.62 (league 1.42), Mozambique = 1.01 (league 1.18)

Mozambique
0 1 2 3 4 5
Uganda 0 7.2% 7.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.7% 11.8% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1