Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.42) 1.11 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 29.7% 37.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Guinea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mozambique 0 12.0% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMozambiqueGuinea
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack47%20%
Defense33%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mozambique Guinea
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%25%50%38%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses25%50%38%25%50%38%

Form: Mozambique: WLWWWLLW • Guinea: WLWLDLWD

League goals

Metric Mozambique Guinea
HATHAT
GF total7512257
GF avg1.81.31.50.51.30.9
GA total41115235
GA avg1.02.81.90.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMozambiqueGuinea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%38%63%
1.550%50%38%0%
2.525%25%13%0%
3.50%25%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMozambiqueGuinea
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score112325

Penalties

MetricMozambiqueGuinea
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMozambiqueGuinea
Wins31
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-32-10-3
Biggest losses0-25-10-11-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against2511

Model comparison

MetricMozambiqueGuinea
Form64%36%
Att70%30%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total49.3%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : Mozambique or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.52 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ Unibet
Away3.19 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mozambique = 1.02 (league 1.42), Guinea = 1.11 (league 1.18)

Guinea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mozambique 0 12.0% 13.3% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.2% 6.8% 3.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 37.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1