Tue, Mar 31 2026 • 14:00 • Pamir Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.68) 0.91 (league 1.32)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 37.4% 45.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.8%
0 - 1
23.4%
1 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Philippines
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tajikistan 0 25.8% 23.4% 10.6% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.6% 10.5% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTajikistanPhilippines
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack72%83%
Defense89%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.615 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tajikistan Philippines
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%67%100%80%
Draws0%33%20%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Tajikistan: WDWWW • Philippines: WDWWW

League goals

Metric Tajikistan Philippines
HATHAT
GF total310139615
GF avg1.53.32.63.03.03.0
GA total022415
GA avg0.00.70.41.30.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTajikistanPhilippines
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%20%100%80%
1.580%20%100%20%
2.540%0%60%0%
3.520%0%40%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTajikistanPhilippines
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricTajikistanPhilippines
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricTajikistanPhilippines
Wins11
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-54-11-4
Biggest losses————
Goals For2544
Goals Against0221

Model comparison

MetricTajikistanPhilippines
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h15%85%
Goals35%65%
Total43.4%56.6%

Advice: Double chance : Tajikistan or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 188Bet
Draw3.50 @ Dafabet
Away4.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.80 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tajikistan = 0.45 (league 1.68), Philippines = 0.91 (league 1.32)

Philippines
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tajikistan 0 25.8% 23.4% 10.6% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 11.6% 10.5% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 2.6% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 37.4% · Away win 45.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1