Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 10:15 • Colombo Racecourse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.66) 0.75 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 34.5% 28.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.2%
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Turkmenistan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sri Lanka 0 19.2% 14.3% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSri LankaTurkmenistan
Played42
Form42%100%
Attack45%45%
Defense64%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 12 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sri Lanka Turkmenistan
HATHAT
Played224112
Wins50%0%25%100%100%100%
Draws50%50%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%50%25%0%0%0%

Form: Sri Lanka: DDLW • Turkmenistan: WW

League goals

Metric Sri Lanka Turkmenistan
HATHAT
GF total325325
GF avg1.51.01.33.02.02.5
GA total134112
GA avg0.51.51.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSri LankaTurkmenistan
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%75%100%100%
1.550%25%100%0%
2.525%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSri LankaTurkmenistan
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricSri LankaTurkmenistan
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSri LankaTurkmenistan
Wins02
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-11-2
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For3232
Goals Against1211

Model comparison

MetricSri LankaTurkmenistan
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total40.8%59.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Turkmenistan

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away1.92 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ SBO
Under 2.51.74 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sri Lanka = 0.90 (league 1.66), Turkmenistan = 0.75 (league 1.34)

Turkmenistan
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sri Lanka 0 19.2% 14.3% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.8% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 28.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1