Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 12:00 • Kai Tak Sports Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.66) 0.97 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 29.1% 29.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bangladesh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hong Kong 0 11.4% 11.0% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.3% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHong KongBangladesh
Played33
Form78%11%
Attack24%19%
Defense86%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.74 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 16 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

40%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hong Kong Bangladesh
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%0%0%0%
Draws0%50%33%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%100%0%67%

Form: Hong Kong: DWW • Bangladesh: DLL

League goals

Metric Hong Kong Bangladesh
HATHAT
GF total145404
GF avg1.02.01.72.00.01.3
GA total033606
GA avg0.01.51.03.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHong KongBangladesh
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%67%67%
1.533%33%33%67%
2.533%33%33%33%
3.533%0%0%33%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHong KongBangladesh
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricHong KongBangladesh
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHong KongBangladesh
Wins00
Draws11
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-03-4——
Biggest losses——3-4—
Goals For1430
Goals Against0340

Model comparison

MetricHong KongBangladesh
Form88%13%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals57%43%
Total67.0%33.3%

Advice: Double chance : Hong Kong or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ Unibet
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.69 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hong Kong = 1.20 (league 1.66), Bangladesh = 0.97 (league 1.34)

Bangladesh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hong Kong 0 11.4% 11.0% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.3% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 29.5%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1