Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 13:45 •
Ashgabat Stadium
Expected Goals
2.71 (league 1.66)
0.75 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 72.9% | 13.6% | 7.8% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.6%
3 - 0
10.5%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Sri Lanka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Turkmenistan | 0 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 24% | 29% |
| Defense | 86% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Turkmenistan: WWL • Sri Lanka: DDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Turkmenistan | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 67% | 33% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Turkmenistan or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Turkmenistan = 2.71 (league 1.66), Sri Lanka = 0.75 (league 1.34)
| Sri Lanka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Turkmenistan | 0 | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.5% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.9% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 7.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1