Tue, Nov 18 2025 • 10:15 • Colombo Racecourse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.66) 0.78 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.4% 25.4% 18.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.9%
1 - 1
11.7%
2 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Thailand
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sri Lanka 0 9.5% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSri LankaThailand
Played54
Form60%75%
Attack38%48%
Defense71%81%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sri Lanka Thailand
HATHAT
Played336224
Wins67%33%50%100%50%75%
Draws33%0%17%0%0%0%
Loses0%67%33%0%50%25%

Form: Sri Lanka: DWLWWL • Thailand: WLWW

League goals

Metric Sri Lanka Thailand
HATHAT
GF total4483710
GF avg1.31.31.31.53.52.5
GA total156044
GA avg0.31.71.00.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSri LankaThailand
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%100%50%
1.533%33%50%25%
2.533%0%25%25%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSri LankaThailand
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricSri LankaThailand
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSri LankaThailand
Wins21
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-32-01-6
Biggest losses—2-1—3-1
Goals For3326
Goals Against1203

Model comparison

MetricSri LankaThailand
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Thailand

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home11.00 @ Betfair
Draw5.47 @ 1xBet
Away1.37 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sri Lanka = 1.57 (league 1.66), Thailand = 0.78 (league 1.34)

Thailand
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sri Lanka 0 9.5% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.9% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.2% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.4% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 18.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1