Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 16:00 • Helsingin olympiastadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.26 (league 1.90) 1.05 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.2% 34.7% 56.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.2%
0 - 0
26.7%
0 - 2
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
Lithuania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finland 0 26.7% 28.2% 14.9% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
1 7.1% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFinlandLithuania
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack33%28%
Defense56%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Finland Lithuania
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%0%0%0%
Draws0%33%20%67%50%60%
Loses50%33%40%33%50%40%

Form: Finland: WDLWL • Lithuania: LDDDL

League goals

Metric Finland Lithuania
HATHAT
GF total246505
GF avg1.01.31.21.70.01.0
GA total358617
GA avg1.51.71.62.00.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFinlandLithuania
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%60%80%
1.540%60%40%40%
2.50%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFinlandLithuania
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score101022

Penalties

MetricFinlandLithuania
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricFinlandLithuania
Wins10
Draws13
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1——
Biggest losses0-23-12-31-0
Goals For2220
Goals Against2331

Model comparison

MetricFinlandLithuania
Form70%30%
Att55%45%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.4%45.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Finland or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away7.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Finland = 0.26 (league 1.90), Lithuania = 1.05 (league 1.42)

Lithuania
0 1 2 3 4 5
Finland 0 26.7% 28.2% 14.9% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
1 7.1% 7.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 0.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.2% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 56.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1