Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:45 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.90) 1.41 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.2% 25.0% 73.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
32.8%
0 - 0
23.3%
0 - 2
23.1%
Score & goals probability table
Slovakia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northern Ireland 0 23.3% 32.8% 23.1% 10.8% 3.8% 1.1%
1 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthern IrelandSlovakia
Played22
Form50%100%
Attack22%17%
Defense78%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 23 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

46%
FT probability

2.5+

33%
FT probability

3.5+

23%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northern Ireland Slovakia
HATHAT
Played022112
Wins—50%50%100%100%100%
Draws—0%0%0%0%0%
Loses—50%50%0%0%0%

Form: Northern Ireland: WL • Slovakia: WW

League goals

Metric Northern Ireland Slovakia
HATHAT
GF total044213
GF avg0.02.02.02.01.01.5
GA total044000
GA avg0.02.02.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthern IrelandSlovakia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.550%50%50%0%
2.550%50%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthern IrelandSlovakia
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricNorthern IrelandSlovakia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNorthern IrelandSlovakia
Wins12
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-32-00-1
Biggest losses—3-1——
Goals For0321
Goals Against0300

Model comparison

MetricNorthern IrelandSlovakia
Form33%67%
Att57%43%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Slovakia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ 1xBet
Draw3.01 @ 1xBet
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.48 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.36 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northern Ireland = 0.05 (league 1.90), Slovakia = 1.41 (league 1.42)

Slovakia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northern Ireland 0 23.3% 32.8% 23.1% 10.8% 3.8% 1.1%
1 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.2% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 73.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1