Fri, Oct 10 2025 • 18:45 • Laugardalsvöllur
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.78) 0.68 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.7% 12.4% 6.4%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.1%
3 - 0
11.3%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Ukraine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Iceland 0 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.3% 7.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.9% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIcelandUkraine
Played22
Form50%17%
Attack33%6%
Defense89%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 31 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Iceland Ukraine
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%100%50%
Loses0%100%50%100%0%50%

Form: Iceland: WL • Ukraine: LD

League goals

Metric Iceland Ukraine
HATHAT
GF total516011
GF avg5.01.03.00.01.00.5
GA total022213
GA avg0.02.01.02.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIcelandUkraine
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.550%50%0%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.550%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIcelandUkraine
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricIcelandUkraine
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIcelandUkraine
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0
Biggest losses2-10-2
Goals For5101
Goals Against0221

Model comparison

MetricIcelandUkraine
Form75%25%
Att86%14%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total65.6%34.4%

Advice: Winner : Iceland

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ 188Bet
Draw3.43 @ 1xBet
Away2.45 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.90 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Iceland = 2.80 (league 1.78), Ukraine = 0.68 (league 1.47)

Ukraine
0 1 2 3 4 5
Iceland 0 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.6% 5.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 8.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.3% 7.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 7.9% 5.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 4.4% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.7% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 6.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1