Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.78) 1.36 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.6% 25.3% 35.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Poland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lithuania 0 6.2% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.0% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLithuaniaPoland
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack50%67%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lithuania Poland
HATHAT
Played336325
Wins0%0%0%100%0%60%
Draws67%33%50%0%50%20%
Loses33%67%50%0%50%20%

Form: Lithuania: LDDDLL • Poland: WWLDW

League goals

Metric Lithuania Poland
HATHAT
GF total516628
GF avg1.70.31.02.01.01.6
GA total639134
GA avg2.01.01.50.31.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLithuaniaPoland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%100%60%
1.533%50%40%20%
2.50%17%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLithuaniaPoland
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricLithuaniaPoland
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLithuaniaPoland
Wins02
Draws31
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1
Biggest losses2-32-12-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against3212

Model comparison

MetricLithuaniaPoland
Form23%77%
Att43%57%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total37.8%62.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Poland

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw5.05 @ 1xBet
Away1.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lithuania = 1.43 (league 1.78), Poland = 1.36 (league 1.47)

Poland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lithuania 0 6.2% 8.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.8% 12.0% 8.1% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.5% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.6% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 35.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1