Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 18:45 • Cardiff City Stadium
Match Finished
2 - 4
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.78) 1.19 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.0% 29.9% 43.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.6%
0 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Belgium
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wales 0 13.1% 15.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWalesBelgium
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack79%100%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.217 | 3.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wales Belgium
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%67%50%60%
Draws0%33%20%33%50%40%
Loses0%33%20%0%0%0%

Form: Wales: WDWLW • Belgium: DWWWD

League goals

Metric Wales Belgium
HATHAT
GF total651110717
GF avg3.01.72.23.33.53.4
GA total156314
GA avg0.51.71.21.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWalesBelgium
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%80%40%
1.560%20%60%20%
2.560%20%60%20%
3.50%20%60%0%
4.50%0%40%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWalesBelgium
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricWalesBelgium
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricWalesBelgium
Wins13
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-16-00-6
Biggest losses—4-3——
Goals For3366
Goals Against1431

Model comparison

MetricWalesBelgium
Form48%52%
Att39%61%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h15%85%
Goals39%61%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Belgium

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.93 @ 1xBet
Away1.83 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ SBO
Under 2.52.02 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wales = 0.84 (league 1.78), Belgium = 1.19 (league 1.47)

Belgium
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wales 0 13.1% 15.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
1 11.0% 13.1% 7.8% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 4.6% 5.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.0% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 43.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1