Thu, Nov 13 2025 • 17:00 • Neftçi Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.90) 0.70 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.3% 32.6% 24.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
17.2%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Iceland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Azerbaijan 0 17.2% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.6% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAzerbaijanIceland
Played44
Form8%33%
Attack10%55%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.511 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.89 | 2.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

86%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Azerbaijan Iceland
HATHAT
Played134314
Wins0%0%0%33%0%25%
Draws100%0%25%33%0%25%
Loses0%100%75%33%100%50%

Form: Azerbaijan: LDLL • Iceland: WLLD

League goals

Metric Azerbaijan Iceland
HATHAT
GF total11210111
GF avg1.00.30.53.31.02.8
GA total11011729
GA avg1.03.32.82.32.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAzerbaijanIceland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%75%
1.50%75%75%75%
2.50%50%50%25%
3.50%25%25%25%
4.50%25%25%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAzerbaijanIceland
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricAzerbaijanIceland
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAzerbaijanIceland
Wins01
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——5-0—
Biggest losses—5-03-52-1
Goals For1151
Goals Against1552

Model comparison

MetricAzerbaijanIceland
Form20%80%
Att15%85%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Iceland

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.00 @ Unibet
Draw4.40 @ Unibet
Away1.57 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Azerbaijan = 1.05 (league 1.90), Iceland = 0.70 (league 1.42)

Iceland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Azerbaijan 0 17.2% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.8% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.6% 6.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 24.1%

Vtot 12 , Vtod1