Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 17:00 • Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.90) 1.58 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.1% 24.6% 62.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.2%
0 - 2
15.2%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Iceland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ukraine 0 12.1% 19.2% 15.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0%
1 6.4% 10.1% 8.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUkraineIceland
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack29%46%
Defense61%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ukraine Iceland
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%50%40%
Draws0%33%20%33%0%20%
Loses50%33%40%33%50%40%

Form: Ukraine: LDWWL • Iceland: WLLDW

League goals

Metric Ukraine Iceland
HATHAT
GF total26810313
GF avg1.02.01.63.31.52.6
GA total3811729
GA avg1.52.72.22.31.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUkraineIceland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%100%100%60%
1.540%60%80%60%
2.520%40%40%20%
3.520%20%20%20%
4.520%0%20%20%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUkraineIceland
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricUkraineIceland
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricUkraineIceland
Wins21
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-55-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-03-52-1
Goals For2552
Goals Against2452

Model comparison

MetricUkraineIceland
Form50%50%
Att38%62%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h64%36%
Goals53%47%
Total46.2%53.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Iceland

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away4.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ukraine = 0.53 (league 1.90), Iceland = 1.58 (league 1.42)

Iceland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ukraine 0 12.1% 19.2% 15.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0%
1 6.4% 10.1% 8.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.1% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 62.8%

vtt 4 , vtd1