Mon, Nov 17 2025 • 19:45 • Windsor Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.90) 0.07 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.6% 21.3% 1.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
30.3%
2 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
19.2%
Score & goals probability table
Luxembourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northern Ireland 0 19.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthern IrelandLuxembourg
Played55
Form40%0%
Attack32%5%
Defense68%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.21 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northern Ireland Luxembourg
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%67%60%100%100%100%

Form: Northern Ireland: WLWLL • Luxembourg: LLLLL

League goals

Metric Northern Ireland Luxembourg
HATHAT
GF total246101
GF avg1.01.31.20.30.00.2
GA total1566612
GA avg0.51.71.22.03.02.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthern IrelandLuxembourg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%80%20%100%
1.540%20%0%80%
2.520%20%0%40%
3.50%0%0%20%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthern IrelandLuxembourg
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score112224

Penalties

MetricNorthern IrelandLuxembourg
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNorthern IrelandLuxembourg
Wins10
Draws00
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-3——
Biggest losses0-13-11-34-0
Goals For2310
Goals Against1334

Model comparison

MetricNorthern IrelandLuxembourg
Form100%0%
Att86%14%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals73%27%
Total79.8%20.3%

Advice: Double chance : Northern Ireland or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano
Draw3.90 @ Superbet
Away6.24 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.57 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.77 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 188Bet
No1.69 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northern Ireland = 1.58 (league 1.90), Luxembourg = 0.07 (league 1.42)

Luxembourg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northern Ireland 0 19.2% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.3% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.6% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.6% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 1.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1