Mon, Nov 17 2025 • 19:45 • National Stadium Ta' Qali
Match Finished
2 - 3
Expected Goals
0.16 (league 1.90) 1.55 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
3.5% 22.8% 73.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
28.0%
0 - 2
21.8%
0 - 0
18.0%
Score & goals probability table
Poland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malta 0 18.0% 28.0% 21.8% 11.3% 4.4% 1.4%
1 2.9% 4.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaltaPoland
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack11%42%
Defense32%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Malta Poland
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%25%14%75%33%57%
Draws33%25%29%25%33%29%
Loses67%50%57%0%33%14%

Form: Malta: LLDLDLW • Poland: WWLDWWD

League goals

Metric Malta Poland
HATHAT
GF total0227411
GF avg0.00.50.31.81.31.6
GA total51116235
GA avg1.72.82.30.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaltaPoland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.529%71%100%57%
1.50%43%43%14%
2.50%29%14%0%
3.50%29%0%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaltaPoland
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score325000

Penalties

MetricMaltaPoland
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMaltaPoland
Wins02
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-10-2
Biggest losses0-48-0—2-1
Goals For0132
Goals Against4812

Model comparison

MetricMaltaPoland
Form38%62%
Att20%80%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total28.7%71.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Poland

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.50 @ Betano
Draw5.79 @ Pinnacle
Away1.33 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.33 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Malta = 0.16 (league 1.90), Poland = 1.55 (league 1.42)

Poland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Malta 0 18.0% 28.0% 21.8% 11.3% 4.4% 1.4%
1 2.9% 4.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
2 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.5% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 73.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1